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Giant Sucking Sounds

"We have created nearly 21 million new jobs nationwide since 1992...Trade is not the sole cause of this success, but it is a vital component," said Deputy U.S. Trade Representative Richard Fisher in March.

Oh, really?

In a new brief on "The Facts About Trade and Job Creation," Robert E. Scott of the Economic Policy Institute provides evidence that, on balance, "free trade" has resulted in a net loss of jobs and lowered Gross Domestic Product. What’s missing from the Trade Rep’s analysis is imports, which have skyrocketed since 1992.

Says Scott: "Trade includes imports as well as exports. Looking at exports while ignoring the effects of imports is like trying to keep score in a baseball game by adding up the runs scored by one team and ignoring those scored by the other."

Here are the hard numbers according to Scott:

  1. Between 1992 and 1999, rising exports created about 4.1 million jobs. But soaring imports cost us 7.3 million jobs. That’s a net loss of 3.2 million jobs.
        

  2. Rising exports caused real output (the Gross Domestic Product) to increase by 19.8 percent. But galloping imports reduced real output by 35.2 percent. And so, trade caused a net 15.4 percent decline in the GDP.

Scott notes that probably the biggest impact of expanded trade is the way it pushes workers in and out of jobs. In 1999 alone, he reports, a total of 11.4 million workers — 8.9 percent of the workforce! — either gained or lost a job due to trade. No statistic can describe the dislocation and job fear that figure represents.

For more info, see the Economic Policy Institute’s website at www.epinet.org.

Resistance is Futile! (Mike Konopack Cartoon)

Cartoon ©2000 Mike Konopacki

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No Trade Fools

Despite such evidence, Democrat and Republican politicians are pretty solidly united behind pro-corporate global trade liberalization schemes.

But the American public is not so sure. A Business Week/Harris poll of 1,024 Americans taken in April, just days before the big trade protests in Washington, found most people were queasy about the effects of "free trade."

A slim majority of 51 percent described themselves as "fair traders," while only 10 percent said they were "free traders," and 37 percent were outright "protectionist." They were evenly split on whether trade increased or decreased U.S. jobs. But they thought trade agreements with countries such as China and Mexico definitely resulted in lower U.S. wages.

When asked what should be the major priorities in U.S. trade agreements, 74 percent said preventing unfair competition by countries that violate workers’ rights, 77 percent said preventing the loss of U.S. jobs, and 80 percent said the environment.

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Watt Money

Congress may soon vote on whether to deregulate the nation’s $200 billion electricity market, allowing big energy companies to elbow their way into retail electricity sales.

The Center for Responsive Politics notes that there’s been a sudden surge of interest in utility deregulation on the Hill lately, and wonders if monumental campaign contributions by corporate supporters of deregulation might have something to do with it. Both houses of Congress are likely to take up the issue this summer.

In April, billionaire Warren Buffett, who owns a utility company in Iowa, visited House Speaker Dennis Hastert and Minority Leader Dick Gephardt to argue for deregulation. The deceptively named lobby group Americans for Affordable Electricity, meanwhile, has meted out some $12 million in soft money, PAC, and individual contributions in 1999. AAE’s members include Enron, Anheuser-Busch, the National Restaurant Association, and General Motors.

For more info, see the Center for Responsive Politics’ website at www.opensecrets.org, or call Holly Bailey at 202-857-0044.

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Two Faces of the IMF/World Bank

Wanted! (Mike Konopacki Cartoon)

Cartoon ©2000 Mike Konopacki

The little known leaders of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank had a rare moment of high visibility in April. They came out from their conference rooms, looking tired and pale, to defend their institutions in the face of protests by students, environmentalists, and union members in Washington, D.C. (see: We Put the IMF/World Bank on the Defensive). The IMF’s Stanley Fischer and World Bank’s James Wolfensohn were a tad defensive, insisting that their primary aim was to reduce poverty and suffering worldwide.

But on the eve of the Washington protests, the International Confederation of Free Trade Unions released a survey of its trade union affiliates around the world about how they perceived the work of these global financial institutions.

In their statement, the union organizations charge that there is a "huge gap between IMF/World Bank statements about reducing poverty, and the disastrous consequences of their policies, which in many cases have had exactly the opposite effect."

The ICFTU cites one recent case in which the IMF commended the government of Tunisia for refusing to implement an unemployment insurance system. In Haiti, the IMF urged the government to implement an across-the-board freeze on public spending. In Bosnia-Herzegovina, the World Bank recommended that the government not adopt laws guaranteeing workers the right to collective bargaining.

"In many countries," the ICFTU charges, "narrowly focused labor market deregulation, often at the suggestion of the two financial institutions, has become synonymous with weakening trade unions and dismantling bargaining structures, reducing workers’ protection, and penalizing the unemployed, which has contributed to increasing inequality and poverty."

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Poor Audits

Once upon a time, rich people were ten times more likely than poor people to be audited by the IRS. No longer. A study by researchers at Syracuse University found that last year, people earning under $25,000 a year had a 1 in 74 chance of being audited, while people making over $100,000 had a 1 in 87 chance.

Apparently the shift is at least partly President Clinton’s fault. When rampaging Republicans, led by Newt Gingrich, wanted to reduce the earned income tax credit back in 1995, Clinton countered with a proposal to increase audits of the working poor.

The nonpartisan campaign reform group Public Campaign also blames "a Congress dependent on campaign contributions from an elite group of givers who are disproportionately wealthy."

For more info: wwwpubliccampaign.org.

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